Participative Foresight for Smarter Cities
From a Vision over Scenarios to Roadmapping
At a glance
- Project leader : Vicente Carabias-Hütter
- Project team : Lukas Braunreiter, Tobias Kuehn, Dr. Jörg Musiolik, Dr. Silvia Ulli-Beer, Michael Wurzinger, Onur Yildirim
- Project status : completed
- Funding partner : SNSF
- Project partner : National Research University Higher School of Economics
- Contact person : Vicente Carabias-Hütter
Recently, the smart city concepts have gained increasing
importance in current energy and city planning. Various smart city
projects which have been realized show that a systemic, integrative
approach is crucial. However, in the projects the delineation of
boundaries for integrative planning and the realization of systemic
local solutions are challenging as the prevailing conventional
planning tools and routines are limited. They usually propose
top-down and short-term approaches with limited interactions with
the stakeholders and limited interdisciplinary research (in
particular involving areas of political sciences and
To tackle these challenges, the proposed research project aims to enhance the existing planning routines by developing and testing systemic tools for multi-level stakeholder participation processes as well as for future-oriented thinking in city development. For this purpose, two Swiss and two Russian cities were selected, namely Winterthur, Zurich, Moscow and Kazan. These cities will be examined from the smart cities perspective with current and future applications at different implementation levels. Ideas and instruments will be developed to support their ongoing or planned smart city projects at district or city level by introducing participative and long term perspectives.
In a series of workshops, participants’ visions, goals and interests will be elicited, compared with each other and contrasted with available data applying participative foresight methods and group model building techniques. Tools such as a GIS and a system dynamics simulation model will be developed to support the planning process, allow the integration of data and serve as a test-bed for proposed solutions. The systemic intervention and participation techniques will be continuously monitored and systematically evaluated. Moreover, a stakeholder-based scenario development process will be applied to envision future developments towards a smarter city and to distil roadmaps for the most desirable scenarios. The final outcomes include a scientifically based generic implementation roadmap and recommendations on integrated urban and energy planning routines and tools.
Neuroni, Alessia C.; Haller, Stephan; van Winden, Willem; Carabias-Hütter, Vicente; Yildirim, Onur,
Public value creation in a smart city context - an analysis framework
Rodriguez Bolivar, Manuel Pedro, ed.,
Setting foundations for the creation of public value in smart cities.
Public administration and information technology ; 35.
Available from: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-98953-2_3
Sokolov, Alexander; Veselitskaya, Natalia; Carabias-Hütter, Vicente; Yildirim, Onur,
Scenario-based identification of key factors for smart cities development policies.
Technological Forecasting and Social Change.
Available from: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119729
Carabias-Hütter, Vicente; West, Mirjam; Yildirim, Onur; Musiolik, Jörg,
Smart Sustainable Cities : Innovationen für mehr Lebensqualität.
2019(1), pp. 14-19.
Available from: https://www.etrends.ch/detail/smart-sustainable-cities.html
Zwahlen, Mirjam; Yildirim, Onur; Eschenauer, Ursula; Carabias-Hütter, Vicente,
Konzepte für die Zukunft : eine Delphi-Umfrage zu Smart Cities liefert konkrete Ansätze.
Bulletin: Fachzeitschrift und Verbandsinformationen von Electrosuisse und VSE.
2016(12), pp. 16-19.
Available from: https://doi.org/10.21256/zhaw-4226
Carabias-Hütter, Vicente; Kuehn, Tobias; Sokolov, Alexander; Spiess, Harry,
Participative foresight for smarter cities : from vision seeds to the development of scenarios [paper].
Schrenk, Manfred; Popovich, Vasily V.; Zeile, Peter; Elisei, Pietro; Beyer, Clemens, eds.,
REAL CORP 2016 : Smart Me Up!.
21st International Conference on Urban Planning, Regional Development and Information Society (REAL CORP 2016), Hamburg, Germany, 22-24 June 2016.
Available from: https://doi.org/10.21256/zhaw-4243